TIDES AND SOLUNAR CHARTS Kasaan Bay

Enjoy to the max a well-planned fishing expedition in Kasaan Bay

FISHING • FORECAST

Weather

Tides

Solunar

Sites

weather

WEATHER KASAAN BAY

TODAY, SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 23, 2018

loading weather ...

cloud cover -%

precipitation -

Wind

Comes from

(

°)

Wind gust

Temperature

- °F

Maximum -° F

Minimum -° F

Wind chill -° F

Humidity

- %

Dew point -° F

Visibility

- mi.

Changes in pressure have a considerable influence on the activity of fish

Pressure
in

RISING

STABLE

FALLING

General Fishing Conditions:

VERY GOOD

GOOD

POOR

Fishing changes by pressure trend:

RISING

Very good.
Bite might slow as conditions stabilize

STABLE

Normal activity

FALLING

Good at first. Changing to poor

General Fishing Conditions:

VERY GOOD

GOOD

POOR

Rapidly fluctuating either way is indication of good fishing

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Coastal area forecast

KASAAN BAY COAST

Open water forecast

SEA NEAR KASAAN BAY

Atmospheric pressure (in)

12 am

2 am

4 am

6 am

8 am

10 am

12 pm

2 pm

4 pm

6 pm

8 pm

10 pm

12 am

SEP

WEATHER FORECAST

Coastal area

Open water

Coastal area

Open water

6 hours

1 hour

2 hours

3 hours

4 hours

5 hours

6 hours

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UV Index

Exposure level

low

moderate

high

very high

extreme

SOLAR PROTECTION MEASURES

1-2

NO PROTECTION

You can safely stay outside without sun protection measures.

3-5

6-7

PROTECTION REQUIRED

Wear T-shirt, cap and glasses.

Apply SPF 30+ sunscreen.

Stay in shade near midday when the sun is strongest.

8-10

11+

EXTRA PROTECTION

Wear T-shirt, cap and glasses.

Apply SPF 50+ sunscreen.

Stay in the shade as long as possible and avoid being outside during midday hours.

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WATER TEMPERATURE KASAAN BAY

TODAY, SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 23, 2018

The effects of Water Temperature

Fish are cold blooded, which means their metabolism is strongly influenced by the temperature of their surrounding environment. Fish want to stay comfortable. Consequently, even a small change or break will cause fish to move from one location to another.

In general, this behavior varies for each species and place, so we can not specify an ideal water temperature, however as a general rule we will try to avoid the temperatures abnormally cold in summer and too warm in winter. Remember, look for the comfort zones and you will find the fish.

Current Temperature air / water

SEPTEMBER 23, 2018, 4:43 am

Water temperature plays an important role in the behavior of fish. When the water is cold, fish are lethargic and inactive, and the same happens if the water is too hot.

At this moment the current water temperature in Kasaan Bay is -. The average water temperature in Kasaan Bay today is -.

Water temperature plays an important role in the behavior of fish. When the water is cold, fish are lethargic and inactive, and the same happens if the water is too hot.

DAILY EVOLUTION OF WATER TEMPERATURE IN KASAAN BAY

12 am

1 am

2 am

3 am

4 am

5 am

6 am

7 am

8 am

9 am

10 am

11 am

12 pm

1 pm

2 pm

3 pm

4 pm

5 pm

6 pm

7 pm

8 pm

9 pm

10 pm

11 pm

NOTICE

Our prediction algorithm for water temperature is in development phase. Although in most places we get a value very close to the actual sea water temperature, it may not be accurate in certain areas. Please, use with caution.

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SWELL KASAAN BAY

TODAY, SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 23, 2018

Significant wave height

It is normal for waves to vary in height from one to the next. To give you an idea of the range of waves to expect at a given time, we consider the significant wave height as the average height of the highest third of the waves in the open sea.

The significant wave height provides an estimation of wave heights recorded by a trained observer from a fixed point at sea because we tend to pay more attention to the larger waves.

Current wave conditions

SEPTEMBER 23, 2018, 4:43 am

Wave direction - (-°)

Significant height -

Wave period -

Most frequent waves

The most frequent wave height will be about half the height of the significant wave.

Significant height

About 14% of waves will be higher than the significant wave height (about 1 in every 7 waves).

Maximum waves

It is normal to expect a wave of twice the height of the significant wave about 3 times in 24 hours.

This means at this moment you need to be prepared for a wave of - before heading out on the water.

SWELL CHART

significant wave height

sunrise

sunset

SWELL TABLE

wave direction

significant wave height

wave period

6:39 am

6:43 pm

height (ft)

12 am

2 am

4 am

6 am

8 am

10 am

12 pm

2 pm

4 pm

6 pm

8 pm

10 pm

12 am

SURF FORECAST IN KASAAN BAY

We consider the waves in the open sea.

The waves you will find on the shore can be slightly affected by the orientation of the coastline and the seabed of the beaches, although in most cases they are usually equivalent.

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tides

HIGH TIDES AND LOW TIDES KASAAN BAY

TODAY, SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 23, 2018

high tide
12:20 am

low tide
6:35 am

rising

falling

Current status of water

SEPTEMBER 23, 2018, 4:43 am

The water level is falling. There are 1 hour and 51 minutes until low tide.

Today Sunday, 23^th of September of 2018, the sun will rise in Kasaan Bay at 6:39 am and sunset will be at 6:43 pm. In the high tide and low tide chart, we can see that the first high tide was at 12:20 am and the next high tide will be at 12:56 pm. The first low tide will be at 6:35 am and the next low tide at 6:49 pm.

Today we will have 12 hours and 4 minutes of sun. The solar transit will be at 12:41 pm.

The water level is falling. There are 1 hour and 51 minutes until low tide.

THE TIDES

How do tides form? What types of tides are there and how do they influence sport fishing?

6:39 am

6:43 pm

height (ft)

21.0

14.5

8.0

1.5

-5.0

12:20 am

6:35 am

12:56 pm

6:49 pm

12 am

2 am

4 am

6 am

8 am

10 am

12 pm

2 pm

4 pm

6 pm

8 pm

10 pm

12 am

TIDES

high tide

low tide

SUN

sunrise

sunset

FISH ACTIVITY

very high activity

high activity

average activity

low activity

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TIDAL COEFFICIENT KASAAN BAY

TODAY, SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 23, 2018

MORNING

AFTERNOON

Tidal coefficient

SEPTEMBER 23, 2018

The tidal coefficient today is 82, a high value and therefore the range of tides and currents will also be high. At noon the tidal coefficient increases to 85. The day ends with a tidal coefficient of 88.

The heights today are 15.2 ft, 0.1 ft, 15.1 ft and 1.3 ft referenced to Mean Lower Low Water (MLLW).

We can compare these levels with the maximum high tide recorded in the tide tables for Kasaan Bay which is of 20.0 ft and a minimum height of -4.6 ft.

TIDAL COEFFICIENT

What is the tidal coefficient?

coef. 12:00 am

coef. 12:00 pm

coef. 12:00 am

max height 20.0 ft

min height -4.6 ft

height (ft)

21.0

14.5

8.0

1.5

-5.0

12:20 am

15.2

6:35 am

0.1

12:56 pm

15.1

6:49 pm

1.3

12 am

2 am

4 am

6 am

8 am

10 am

12 pm

2 pm

4 pm

6 pm

8 pm

10 pm

12 am

TIDES

high tide

low tide

HEIGHT

high tide height

low tide height

maximum height

minimum height

TIDAL COEFFICIENT

tidal coefficient

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tidal coefficients for the entire year 2018

2018 tidal coefficients

The following graph shows the progression of the tidal coefficient in the month of September of 2018.These values give us a rough idea of the tidal amplitude in Kasaan Bay, forecast in September.

Large coefficients indicate important high and low tides; major currents and movements usually take place on the sea bed. But bear in mind that this tidal amplitude may be greatly affected by the weather and you should also consult the weather forecast in Kasaan Bay and the wind and wave forecast in Kasaan Bay before you go fishing.

BIG TIDES

When will the highest tides in 2018 be?

coefficient

120

100

COEFFICIENT

very high

high

average

low

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TIDE TABLE KASAAN BAY

SEPTEMBER, 2018

All the times are generated in local time in Alaska´s Inside Passage and the daylight saving time change has also been borne in mind for your convenience, so you don't need to add or subtract anything.

The heights are expressed in feet referenced to Mean Lower Low Water (MLLW). It is the average of the lower low water height of each tidal day observed over the official time segment over which tide observations are taken and reduced to obtain mean value.

You can change the time format and the default unit for height in the

display settings menu

Press any day in the tide table to load all the information.

September, 2018

Select a view or swipe over the table:

TIDE TABLE

SOLUNAR TABLE

KASAAN BAY September, 2018
DAY		TIDES FOR KASAAN BAY					SOLUNAR ACTIVITY
		1^st TIDE	2^nd TIDE	3^rd TIDE	4^th TIDE	COEFFICIENT		SOLUNAR ACTIVITY
1 Sat	5:57 am 7:40 pm	5:00 am 13.3 ft	10:50 am 2.4 ft	5:15 pm 14.7 ft	11:43 pm 1.7 ft	62 average

2 Sun	5:59 am 7:37 pm	5:57 am 12.2 ft	11:39 am 3.6 ft	6:07 pm 14.2 ft		53 average

3 Mon	6:01 am 7:35 pm	12:50 am 2.0 ft	7:11 am 11.4 ft	12:44 pm 4.7 ft	7:16 pm 13.9 ft	48 low

4 Tue	6:03 am 7:32 pm	2:10 am 1.8 ft	8:40 am 11.4 ft	2:10 pm 5.1 ft	8:38 pm 14.1 ft	51 average

5 Wed	6:05 am 7:30 pm	3:30 am 1.0 ft	10:02 am 12.2 ft	3:36 pm 4.6 ft	9:55 pm 15.0 ft	60 average

6 Thu	6:07 am 7:27 pm	4:36 am -0.3 ft	11:06 am 13.5 ft	4:46 pm 3.4 ft	11:01 pm 16.2 ft	74 high

7 Fri	6:08 am 7:24 pm	5:32 am -1.6 ft	11:58 am 15.0 ft	5:44 pm 1.8 ft	11:57 pm 17.3 ft	88 high

8 Sat	6:10 am 7:22 pm	6:20 am -2.7 ft	12:44 pm 16.3 ft	6:34 pm 0.3 ft		100 very high

9 Sun	6:12 am 7:19 pm	12:48 am 18.1 ft	7:04 am -3.2 ft	1:26 pm 17.3 ft	7:20 pm -0.9 ft	107 very high

10 Mon	6:14 am 7:17 pm	1:35 am 18.5 ft	7:46 am -3.3 ft	2:06 pm 17.9 ft	8:04 pm -1.6 ft	109 very high

11 Tue	6:16 am 7:14 pm	2:21 am 18.2 ft	8:26 am -2.7 ft	2:45 pm 18.0 ft	8:48 pm -1.8 ft	104 very high

12 Wed	6:18 am 7:11 pm	3:05 am 17.5 ft	9:06 am -1.6 ft	3:23 pm 17.7 ft	9:32 pm -1.4 ft	95 very high

13 Thu	6:20 am 7:09 pm	3:50 am 16.3 ft	9:45 am -0.1 ft	4:02 pm 16.9 ft	10:16 pm -0.5 ft	82 high

14 Fri	6:22 am 7:06 pm	4:36 am 14.8 ft	10:26 am 1.6 ft	4:42 pm 15.8 ft	11:04 pm 0.6 ft	67 average

15 Sat	6:24 am 7:04 pm	5:26 am 13.3 ft	11:10 am 3.3 ft	5:25 pm 14.5 ft	11:59 pm 1.8 ft	53 average

16 Sun	6:26 am 7:01 pm	6:26 am 11.9 ft	12:04 pm 4.9 ft	6:18 pm 13.3 ft		41 low

17 Mon	6:28 am 6:58 pm	1:08 am 2.8 ft	7:45 am 11.0 ft	1:16 pm 6.0 ft	7:28 pm 12.4 ft	34 low

18 Tue	6:29 am 6:56 pm	2:29 am 3.2 ft	9:14 am 11.0 ft	2:45 pm 6.3 ft	8:50 pm 12.2 ft	35 low

19 Wed	6:31 am 6:53 pm	3:45 am 2.9 ft	10:26 am 11.6 ft	4:02 pm 5.7 ft	10:03 pm 12.7 ft	42 low

20 Thu	6:33 am 6:50 pm	4:43 am 2.2 ft	11:15 am 12.5 ft	4:57 pm 4.7 ft	10:58 pm 13.5 ft	53 average

21 Fri	6:35 am 6:48 pm	5:27 am 1.4 ft	11:53 am 13.4 ft	5:39 pm 3.5 ft	11:42 pm 14.4 ft	63 average

22 Sat	6:37 am 6:45 pm	6:03 am 0.6 ft	12:26 pm 14.3 ft	6:15 pm 2.4 ft		73 high

23 Sun	6:39 am 6:43 pm	12:20 am 15.2 ft	6:35 am 0.1 ft	12:56 pm 15.1 ft	6:49 pm 1.3 ft	82 high

24 Mon	6:41 am 6:40 pm	12:56 am 15.8 ft	7:05 am -0.3 ft	1:25 pm 15.8 ft	7:22 pm 0.4 ft	88 high

25 Tue	6:43 am 6:37 pm	1:31 am 16.2 ft	7:35 am -0.4 ft	1:54 pm 16.3 ft	7:54 pm -0.2 ft	92 very high

26 Wed	6:45 am 6:35 pm	2:05 am 16.3 ft	8:05 am -0.2 ft	2:23 pm 16.6 ft	8:28 pm -0.6 ft	93 very high

27 Thu	6:47 am 6:32 pm	2:41 am 16.1 ft	8:35 am 0.3 ft	2:53 pm 16.7 ft	9:03 pm -0.7 ft	90 very high

28 Fri	6:49 am 6:29 pm	3:19 am 15.6 ft	9:08 am 1.1 ft	3:25 pm 16.5 ft	9:42 pm -0.5 ft	84 high

29 Sat	6:51 am 6:27 pm	4:00 am 14.8 ft	9:44 am 2.1 ft	4:01 pm 16.1 ft	10:27 pm -0.0 ft	74 high

30 Sun	6:53 am 6:24 pm	4:47 am 13.8 ft	10:26 am 3.3 ft	4:44 pm 15.4 ft	11:20 pm 0.7 ft	63 average

TIDES

high tide

low tide

SUN

sunrise

sunset

ACTIVITY

very high activity

high activity

average activity

low activity

KASAAN BAY September, 2018
DAY	TIDES FOR KASAAN BAY
DAY	1^st TIDE	2^nd TIDE	3^rd TIDE	4^th TIDE	SOLUNAR ACTIVITY
1 Sat	5:00 am 13.3 ft	10:50 am 2.4 ft	5:15 pm 14.7 ft	11:43 pm 1.7 ft
1 Sat
2 Sun	5:57 am 12.2 ft	11:39 am 3.6 ft	6:07 pm 14.2 ft
2 Sun
3 Mon	12:50 am 2.0 ft	7:11 am 11.4 ft	12:44 pm 4.7 ft	7:16 pm 13.9 ft
3 Mon
4 Tue	2:10 am 1.8 ft	8:40 am 11.4 ft	2:10 pm 5.1 ft	8:38 pm 14.1 ft
4 Tue
5 Wed	3:30 am 1.0 ft	10:02 am 12.2 ft	3:36 pm 4.6 ft	9:55 pm 15.0 ft
5 Wed
6 Thu	4:36 am -0.3 ft	11:06 am 13.5 ft	4:46 pm 3.4 ft	11:01 pm 16.2 ft
6 Thu
7 Fri	5:32 am -1.6 ft	11:58 am 15.0 ft	5:44 pm 1.8 ft	11:57 pm 17.3 ft
7 Fri
8 Sat	6:20 am -2.7 ft	12:44 pm 16.3 ft	6:34 pm 0.3 ft
8 Sat
9 Sun	12:48 am 18.1 ft	7:04 am -3.2 ft	1:26 pm 17.3 ft	7:20 pm -0.9 ft
9 Sun
10 Mon	1:35 am 18.5 ft	7:46 am -3.3 ft	2:06 pm 17.9 ft	8:04 pm -1.6 ft
10 Mon
11 Tue	2:21 am 18.2 ft	8:26 am -2.7 ft	2:45 pm 18.0 ft	8:48 pm -1.8 ft
11 Tue
12 Wed	3:05 am 17.5 ft	9:06 am -1.6 ft	3:23 pm 17.7 ft	9:32 pm -1.4 ft
12 Wed
13 Thu	3:50 am 16.3 ft	9:45 am -0.1 ft	4:02 pm 16.9 ft	10:16 pm -0.5 ft
13 Thu
14 Fri	4:36 am 14.8 ft	10:26 am 1.6 ft	4:42 pm 15.8 ft	11:04 pm 0.6 ft
14 Fri
15 Sat	5:26 am 13.3 ft	11:10 am 3.3 ft	5:25 pm 14.5 ft	11:59 pm 1.8 ft
15 Sat
16 Sun	6:26 am 11.9 ft	12:04 pm 4.9 ft	6:18 pm 13.3 ft
16 Sun
17 Mon	1:08 am 2.8 ft	7:45 am 11.0 ft	1:16 pm 6.0 ft	7:28 pm 12.4 ft
17 Mon
18 Tue	2:29 am 3.2 ft	9:14 am 11.0 ft	2:45 pm 6.3 ft	8:50 pm 12.2 ft
18 Tue
19 Wed	3:45 am 2.9 ft	10:26 am 11.6 ft	4:02 pm 5.7 ft	10:03 pm 12.7 ft
19 Wed
20 Thu	4:43 am 2.2 ft	11:15 am 12.5 ft	4:57 pm 4.7 ft	10:58 pm 13.5 ft
20 Thu
21 Fri	5:27 am 1.4 ft	11:53 am 13.4 ft	5:39 pm 3.5 ft	11:42 pm 14.4 ft
21 Fri
22 Sat	6:03 am 0.6 ft	12:26 pm 14.3 ft	6:15 pm 2.4 ft
22 Sat
23 Sun	12:20 am 15.2 ft	6:35 am 0.1 ft	12:56 pm 15.1 ft	6:49 pm 1.3 ft
23 Sun
24 Mon	12:56 am 15.8 ft	7:05 am -0.3 ft	1:25 pm 15.8 ft	7:22 pm 0.4 ft
24 Mon
25 Tue	1:31 am 16.2 ft	7:35 am -0.4 ft	1:54 pm 16.3 ft	7:54 pm -0.2 ft
25 Tue
26 Wed	2:05 am 16.3 ft	8:05 am -0.2 ft	2:23 pm 16.6 ft	8:28 pm -0.6 ft
26 Wed
27 Thu	2:41 am 16.1 ft	8:35 am 0.3 ft	2:53 pm 16.7 ft	9:03 pm -0.7 ft
27 Thu
28 Fri	3:19 am 15.6 ft	9:08 am 1.1 ft	3:25 pm 16.5 ft	9:42 pm -0.5 ft
28 Fri
29 Sat	4:00 am 14.8 ft	9:44 am 2.1 ft	4:01 pm 16.1 ft	10:27 pm -0.0 ft
29 Sat
30 Sun	4:47 am 13.8 ft	10:26 am 3.3 ft	4:44 pm 15.4 ft	11:20 pm 0.7 ft
30 Sun

KASAAN BAY September, 2018
DAY		COEFFICIENT	SOLUNAR ACTIVITY
1 Sat	5:57 am 7:40 pm	62 average

2 Sun	5:59 am 7:37 pm	53 average

3 Mon	6:01 am 7:35 pm	48 low

4 Tue	6:03 am 7:32 pm	51 average

5 Wed	6:05 am 7:30 pm	60 average

6 Thu	6:07 am 7:27 pm	74 high

7 Fri	6:08 am 7:24 pm	88 high

8 Sat	6:10 am 7:22 pm	100 very high

9 Sun	6:12 am 7:19 pm	107 very high

10 Mon	6:14 am 7:17 pm	109 very high

11 Tue	6:16 am 7:14 pm	104 very high

12 Wed	6:18 am 7:11 pm	95 very high

13 Thu	6:20 am 7:09 pm	82 high

14 Fri	6:22 am 7:06 pm	67 average

15 Sat	6:24 am 7:04 pm	53 average

16 Sun	6:26 am 7:01 pm	41 low

17 Mon	6:28 am 6:58 pm	34 low

18 Tue	6:29 am 6:56 pm	35 low

19 Wed	6:31 am 6:53 pm	42 low

20 Thu	6:33 am 6:50 pm	53 average

21 Fri	6:35 am 6:48 pm	63 average

22 Sat	6:37 am 6:45 pm	73 high

23 Sun	6:39 am 6:43 pm	82 high

24 Mon	6:41 am 6:40 pm	88 high

25 Tue	6:43 am 6:37 pm	92 very high

26 Wed	6:45 am 6:35 pm	93 very high

27 Thu	6:47 am 6:32 pm	90 very high

28 Fri	6:49 am 6:29 pm	84 high

29 Sat	6:51 am 6:27 pm	74 high

30 Sun	6:53 am 6:24 pm	63 average

print table

IMPORTANT NOTICE

The times reflected in the tidal table for Kasaan Bay are predictions valid as references for sports fishing in areas near the coast of Kasaan Bay. THEY ARE NOT SUITABLE FOR NAVIGATION. Remember that to practice any activity at sea like diving, windsurfing and fishing from a boat or underwater fishing should always be consulted with the official tide tables of the port of Kasaan Bay. + info

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solunar

RISING AND SETTING OF THE MOON KASAAN BAY

TODAY, SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 23, 2018

The moon set at 4:41 am at 252° southwest. Eventually, the moon will rise again in the southeast (104°) at 6:51 pm.

LUNAR CALENDAR

Moonrise and moonset in Kasaan Bay for the entire 2018

The length of time the moon will be visible is 9 hours and 50 minutes.

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SOLUNAR ACTIVITY KASAAN BAY

TODAY, SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 23, 2018

SOLUNAR ACTIVITY: HIGH

According to the solunar theory, today is a good day for fishing, the fish activity forecast is high.

The best times of day for fishing are:

MAJOR PERIODS

VERY HIGH ACTIVITY

from 11:46 am to 1:46 pm

Opposing lunar transit (moon down)

MINOR PERIODS

HIGH ACTIVITY

from 4:41 am to 5:41 am

Moonset

HIGH ACTIVITY

from 6:51 pm to 7:51 pm

Moonrise

SOLUNAR THEORY

The effects of the sun and the moon influence the activity of all living creatures on earth

1:36 am

5:41 am

4:41 am

1:46 pm

11:46 am

7:51 pm

6:51 pm

The solunar periods indicate the best times of day for fishing in Kasaan Bay. The major periods correspond to the lunar transit (passage of the moon over the meridian) and the opposing lunar transit and last approximately 2 hours. The minor periods begin with the rising and setting of the moon and its duration is approximately 1 hour.

When the solunar period coincides with sunrise or sunset, we can expect more activity than initially planned. These peak periods are reflected in green. We additionally point out in the chart the periods of greatest activity during the year with a big blue fish on the period bar + info

SUN

sunrise

sunset

MOON

moonrise

moonset

SOLUNAR ACTIVITY

very high activity

high activity

average activity

low activity

OUTSTANDING PERIODS

best periods of the year

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MOON PHASE KASAAN BAY

TODAY, SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 23, 2018

Waxing
Gibbous

The lunar phase is a Waxing Gibbous.

MOON AGE

13
DAYS

LIGHTING

95 %

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SEP

Full Moon

24^th of September of 2018 at 6:53 pm

in 2 days

OCT

Last Quarter Moon

2^nd of October of 2018 at 1:45 am

in 9 days

OCT

New Moon

8^th of October of 2018 at 7:47 pm

in 16 days

OCT

First Quarter Moon

16^th of October of 2018 at 10:02 am

in 23 days

LUNAR CALENDAR

Calendar of Lunar Phases and Eclipses for the next 2000 years

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ASTRONOMICAL OBSERVATION MOON, SUN AND EARTH

TODAY, SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 23, 2018

MOON

DISTANCE EARTH-MOON

0.002688 AU

ANGULAR DIAMETER EARTH-MOON

0° 29' 43"

SUN

DISTANCE EARTH-SUN

1.003136 AU

ANGULAR DIAMETER EARTH-SUN

0° 31' 53"

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KASAAN BAY

SUNRISE

6:39 am

SUNSET

6:43 pm

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fishing sites

MAP KASAAN BAY

ALASKA´S INSIDE PASSAGE, THE UNITED STATES

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Solunar charts The solunar theory Solunar-Tidal Relation Conclusion

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